Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 23rd, 2024–Feb 24th, 2024

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis, Bow Valley, Highwood Pass, North 40, Spray - KLakes.

Change is in the air! Tomorrow will be the start of a low intensity, but prolonged weather system moving through the area. Forecasted amounts may not be accurate, but expect 10cm by Saturday night. These ratings reflect the "worst" case scenario. Watch incoming weather carefully.

Confidence

Low

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches observed or reported.

Snowpack Summary

Crusts, crusts and more crusts...

Steep SW and W aspects have a thin crust from all of the recent warmth. It is easily breakable and tricky to deal with, but luckily it is not that widespread and predictable to find. There are also pockets of fresh windslab that are forming near ridges and open areas at treeline and above. These are resting on old facets and could build to the point of failing. The Feb crust is down about 20cm and widespread below 2500m. This will be a layer to watch during this next storm. There are facets on top of it that will not tolerate much load. Beneath the Feb crust the snowpack is a mish mash of old crusts and facets. Definitely worth digging or probing to see what its like in your terrain of choice.

Weather Summary

Saturday will be a steady -5 all day with heavy cloud cover and light snow. We're only expecting a modest 5cm for now, but that could vary in either direction. Winds will be worth watching as they are expected to be in the moderate to strong range. Hello windslabs!

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

Wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the underlying crust.
Fresh wind slabs will likely form throughout the day, diligently watch for changing conditions.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.