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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 18th, 2026–Mar 19th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Vancouver Island, East Island, North Island, South Island, West Island.

A soggy snowpack likely makes for sub-par travel conditions.

If you venture out, watch for loose wet avalanches gathering mass on steep slopes.

Confidence

High

  • We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast.

Avalanche Summary

Sluffing and pinwheeling were reported on Monday and Tuesday, although observations are limited. We expect a widespread avalanche cycle occurred during the first few days of heavy rain.

Wet loose activity continues to be possible as temperatures remain elevated and rain continues.

Snowpack Summary

Rain continues to saturate the snowpack with 10-30 cm of wet snow sitting above a widespread, thick crust.

Below, the remainder of the snowpack is generally settled and well-bonded.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy. 5 to 15 mm of rain at treeline. 60 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 4 °C. Freezing level 2200 m.

Thursday

Cloudy. 1 to 15 mm of rain at treeline. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Friday

Mostly cloudy. 10 to 40 mm of rain at treeline. 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 1800 m.

Saturday

Mix of sun and clouds. 1 to 5 cm of snow. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that the high density of wet avalanches can make them destructive.
  • Make observations and continually assess conditions as you travel.
  • Use caution above cliffs and terrain traps where even small avalanches may have severe consequences.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.