Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 14th, 2026–Mar 15th, 2026

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches unlikely.

Alpine

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Treeline

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Below Treeline

Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.

Alpine

Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Treeline

Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Below Treeline

Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.

Regions

Jasper, Brazeau, Churchill, Cirrus-Wilson, Fryatt, Icefields, Maligne, Marmot, Miette Lake, Pyramid.

The persistent slab remains a concern with potential to produce large avalanches. Use cautious route-finding and conservative terrain selection to manage this problem.

Warm, wet weather will make a radical change to avalanche conditions. Danger ratings may be higher than forecast if rain and snow arrive earlier than expected.

Confidence

Low

We are uncertain due to the timing, track, and intensity of the incoming weather system.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche control at Parker Ridge on Thursday produced wind slabs up to size 2.

Snowpack Summary

Strong winds have scoured fetches and formed wind slabs on leeward features. A persistent weak layer of surface hoar and facets from January 24 is buried 20-80 cm. A number of natural avalanches that have failed on this layer in the past week. Below, the snowpack is generally well consolidated facets to ground.

Icefields snow depths range from 130-200 cm and snow depth in the Maligne area ranges from 60-140 cm.

Weather Summary

Sunday will remain partly cloudy with below-freezing temperatures and isolated flurries while a low-pressure system tracks across BC. On Mondy, freezing levels will rise and rain will fall at lower elevations with 11cm of snow in the alpine. Tuesday, the storm will intensify, with heavier precipitation - 20cm of snow in the alpine - and freezing levels climbing to 2000m.

Terrain and Travel Advice

Look for signs of instability: whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks, and recent avalanches.
Avoid steep, rocky, and wind-affected areas where triggering slabs is more likely.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.