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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 26th, 2021–Mar 27th, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Conditions are changing!!!Strong winds, uncertain amounts of precipitation and rising freezing levels should be taken into consideration when heading out.

Weather Forecast

Saturday: Cloudy with scattered flurries. Accumulation: 4 cm. Alpine temperature: High -4 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 25 km/h gusting to 65 km/h. Freezing level: 1800 metres. Sunday: Snow. Accumulation: 19 cm. Alpine temperature: Low -6 °C, High -4 °C. Ridge wind southwest: 20 km/h gusting to 55 km/h. Freezing level: 1600 metres.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30cm of new snow with convective flurries and moderate W-SW winds have redistributed the low density, new snow over previous surfaces such as hard windslab and changeable crusts at TL/ALP elevations. The snow pack varies throughout the region from strong supportive snow in deeper areas to weak facetted snow in the shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

Two large slides occurred on Thursday night in Marmot backcountry, yet a good reminder to beware of low probability, high consequence scenario. Few loose dry avalanches have been observed in the last couple days, mostly off steep alpine terrain and large enough to bury or injure a skier.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Sunday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.