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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 29th, 2021–Mar 31st, 2021

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Below Threshold.

Regions

Yukon.

Fresh snow is expected in the region on Tuesday and Wednesday with strong southerly winds. Expect to find fresh and potentially reactive wind slabs, with the peak of this activity likely occurring on Wednesday. Back off if you encounter whumpfing, cracking, or hollow sounds.

Confidence

Moderate - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain.

Weather Forecast

Monday Night - Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries / moderate to strong southwest wind / alpine low temperature near -12 

Tuesday - Mainly cloudy with flurries, 5-10 cm / strong southwest wind / alpine high temperature near -10 

Wednesday - Snow, 10-15 cm / strong south wind / alpine high temperature near -10 

Thursday - A mix of sun and cloud / light southwest wind / alpine high temperature near -12 

Avalanche Summary

Winds are expected to shift back to the south and west over the coming days, which could result in further wind loading and the formation of fresh and reactive wind slabs, especially with fresh snow expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

A significant wind event, with extreme north winds in the White Pass area on Saturday night, triggered a widespread natural avalanche cycle. 

Snowpack Summary

Recent strong winds from a variety of directions have likely formed wind slabs on many aspects. 5-10 cm of new snow is expected on Tuesday with another 10-15 cm on Wednesday. This likely means that fresh wind slabs will continue to form and may be reactive to human triggering. 

There are no deeper concerns in the snowpack around White Pass.

Substantial spatial variability likely still exists in the snowpack around the Tutshi Lake/Paddy Peak area. The terrain here should be assessed on a slope by slope basis, as lingering snowpack weaknesses may still exist.

The Wheaton's shallower snowpack is dominated by hard wind slabs overlying sugary facets and depth hoar. It's an untrustworthy snowpack structure that requires conservative terrain selection and diligent travel habits.

Terrain and Travel

  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind affected terrain.
  • Be aware of highly variable recent wind loading patterns.
  • Avoid exposure to slopes that have cornices overhead.
  • In areas where deep persistent slabs may exist, avoid shallow or variable depth snowpacks and unsupported terrain features.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.