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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 11th, 2022–Feb 12th, 2022

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Coastal.

Dynamic weather requires dynamic decision making. Current snowpack conditions vary with elevation, and could change through the day with above zero temperatures and sunshine. Keep a constant watch for signs of instability and prepare for challenging travel.

Confidence

High - We have a good understanding of the snowpack structure and confidence in the weather forecast

Weather Forecast

Freezing levels will vary greatly across the region. Expect as high as 2000 m around terrace and kitimat, lower as you look further North, and as low as 500 m around Ningunsaw.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Possible trace of snow expected. Moderate to strong northwest winds. Freezing levels rise as high as 2000 m. 

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny, partly cloudy by the afternoon. Light snow/rain expected. Moderate to strong west wind. Freezing levels as high as 2000 m.

SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Light snow/rain expected. Light south wind. Freezing levels falling to 1000 m by the afternoon.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Possible trace of snow expected. Moderate northwest winds, trending to strong by the afternoon. Freezing level between 250 m and 750 m. 

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Friday before 4pm. 

On Thursday, east of Kitimat, explosives avalanche control below treeline continued to produce large wet loose avalanches. Additionally, a professional operation north of Terrace reported a few large, natural avalanches from steep, alpine features in the afternoon.

On Wednesday, heavy precipitation, rising freezing levels, and strong wind caused a widespread natural avalanche cycle up to size 4 (very large). Many professional operators were reporting natural avalanches running full path to valley bottom. In the north of the region, avalanches mostly started in the alpine or treeline as storm or wind slabs, in some cases stepping down to old weak layers from January and December. In the south of the region, most of the avalanches reported were wet loose, or wet slabs.  

Snowpack Summary

A wet, warm, rainy storm on Wednesday soaked the upper snowpack up to mountaintop in the southern half of the region. Freezing levels dropped to around 1000 m on Thursday, and they'll vary across the region on Saturday (ranging from valley bottom in the north end of the region, to 2200 m in the south). You may find a solid, supportive crust, a breakable crust over moist snow, or loose, wet snow. Prepare for challenging travel conditions, either slide-for-life, or super grabby.

At higher elevations that did not see much rain, expect to find windslabs on many aspects due to moderate to strong south through northwest winds.

Down 60-100 cm, you may find a weak layer of surface hoar crystals, particularly around treeline elevations in terrain features sheltered from the wind. This layer may be found immediately above a hard melt-freeze crust.

Terrain and Travel

  • When a thick, melt-freeze surface crust is present, avalanche activity is unlikely.
  • A crust on the surface will help bind the snow together, but may make for tough travel conditions.
  • Be alert to conditions that change with elevation and sun exposure.
  • Although their spatial distribution is isolated, wind slabs are reactive.
  • Recent wind has varied in direction so watch for wind slabs on all aspects.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.