Avalanche forecast

East Purcell

Jan 5 – 6, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Archived · expired 9 months ago

Avalanche danger

Wed
Thu
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Watch for reactive wind slabs at higher elevations, especially where the snowpack is thin or variable.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible - Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Loose snow will be impacted by wind in open areas. Check for wind slabs in steep and convex slopes at higher elevations or where new snow covers surface hoar.

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Use extra caution in areas with a thin, uniform snowpack (less than 100 cm). These areas are inherently weak, with heavily faceted snow and crusts closer to the surface, making them easier to trigger.

Confidence

Moderate

  • Uncertainty is due to the fact that persistent slabs are particularly difficult to forecast.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday, riders reported small, reactive soft slabs failing down 10 cm on surface hoar at elevations between 1600-1900 m.

Last Wednesday, near Panorama, a size 1.5 skier-triggered avalanche occurred in a very shallow area, likely failing on a layer of facets. See MIN report here.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 10 cm fresh snow covers a variety of old surfaces, including surface hoar in wind-sheltered terrain and a sun crust on steep south-facing slopes.

In the mid-snowpack, a melt-freeze crust exists that was buried in mid-December. This layer is most prevalent at treeline elevations and below.

The lower snowpack consists of a thick melt-freeze crust, with weak faceted snow and/or depth hoar near the ground in areas.

Snow depths vary widely across the region, averaging roughly 100 to 200 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Sunday night

Mostly clear. Up to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -4 °C. Freezing level 1300 m.

Monday

Mostly cloudy. Up to 5 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

Tuesday

Mostly cloudy. 1 cm of snow. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -7 °C. Freezing level 500 m.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny. 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -8 °C. Freezing level 600 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Be careful with wind-loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and rollovers.
  • Carefully evaluate steep lines for wind slabs.
  • Avoid shallow, rocky areas where the snowpack transitions from thick to thin.

Regions covered