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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 7th, 2019–Jan 8th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Lots of good skiing can be found at all elevations. Caution should be taken for traveling into more exposed and steeper terrain.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Light flurries are expected for Tuesday along with light winds from the West. Alpine temperatures will hover around -12c. A slight warming trend and stronger winds are expected for Wednesday along with snow starting in the evening.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed.

Snowpack Summary

We traveled to Burstall Pass today. 5-10cm of new snow overlies the previous 25 cm of storm snow which is bonding well to the layer below. Some wind effect in the alpine and variable wind effect at tree line. Our snow pit revealed the December 30 facet layer is producing hard compression tests down approximately 50cm. This is quite different from our snow tests yesterday on Tryst ridge which were in the moderate range. The bottom half of the snow pack is still very weak and is made up of large facets and depth hoar; something that will be with us for a long time. We were conservative with our ski lines as we have little confidence in the snow pack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.