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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 12th, 2019–Jan 13th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Watch for slab development and increased avalanche hazard as the forecasted above freezing temperatures arrive today.

Weather Forecast

Warm southern air rides a wave of high pressure into the Rogers Pass area for the weekend. We will likely see a temperature inversion establish with above freezing temps in the alpine. For today, a mix of sun and cloud, no precipitation and ridge winds south 15km/h.  Freezing levels climb to 1900m with an alpine temperature of 1.0.

Snowpack Summary

Recent storm snow has begun to settle out into soft slabs at all elevations. Isolated wind slabs exist in the alpine in exposed areas and near ridge lines. The Jan 2 freezing rain crust is down ~90cm. The Nov 21st interface is now 1-2m in deep. The expected arrival of above freezing temperatures will accelerate slab development.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed yesterday.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.