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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 6th, 2017–Apr 7th, 2017

Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast.

Observations from the region have been extremely limited recently. If you are out in the mountains, please consider posting your observations to the Mountain Information Network and help us improve the bulletin. Click here for more details.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Mix of rain and snow, accumulation 20-30mm / Moderate to strong south wind / Alpine temperature 2 / Freezing level 1600mSATURDAY: Mix of rain and snow, accumulation 25-35cm / Moderate southwest wind / Alpine temperature -2 / Freezing level 900mSUNDAY: Mix of sun and cloud / Light south wind / Alpine temperature -5 / Freezing level 700m

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been reported recently but observations have been very limited. On Friday, the main concern is storm and wind slab avalanches where the precipitation is falling as snow. At lower elevations expect loose snow avalanches to be running in steep terrain on all aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Recent snowpack observations have been very limited and confidence is low. The latest series of storms have brought mostly rain and wet snow to the only the uppermost elevations within the region. In these highest elevations within the region there may be as much as 80cm of snow accumulation. This more than likely sits on a widespread crust on all aspects and elevations except for north facing terrain in the alpine. At lower elevations, rain has saturated an already wet snowpack.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.