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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 17th, 2012–Dec 18th, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Weather Forecast

The weather is expected to be high clouds with sunny periods and no snow accumulations in the next few days.  A frontal system will pass South of Jasper on Wednesday and Thursday, while arctic air may arrive from the North in the forecast area bringing cooler temperatures by mid week.

Snowpack Summary

There is a variety of hard slabs and soft slabs on exposed ridge features and cross loaded gullies in the alpine and tree line.  A breakable 10cm wind slab does not propagate and is bonding well to the old snow surface. Below tree line, there is 10cm + of fresh snow over a supportive mid pack above 1900 meters in sheltered glades.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches have been observed since Monday Dec 10.  Wind slabs appear to have bonded well to the old snow surface. The raincrust laminate down in the lower 1/3 of snowpack is deteriorating into a FC layer and does not respond to a compression test.  Test results do show non planar collapses in the basal facets.

Confidence

Due to the number and quality of field observations

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.