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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 29th, 2014–Dec 30th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Ice climbers should pay attention to slab development in cross loaded gullies. Skiers should look for and avoid fresh windslabs just below ridge crests that have a South facing aspect.

Weather Forecast

The weather will remain cold and clear to the end of the year and will start clouding over for New Year's eve. However, the clouds will be stingy and will produce only a light snowfall to bring in 2015. Winds will continue from the North for the next few days. More snow is expected into the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

North winds are forming new wind slabs by reverse loading S-SE aspects near ridge crests and cross-loaded gully features. A Shallow low density upper snowpack sits on a strong, supportive mid-pack which is bridging a weaker facet base.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity reported in the forecast area. There was good visibility into the alpine from Jasper to Saskatchewan crossing.

Confidence

The weather pattern is stable on Tuesday

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.