Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Regions
Cariboos.
Seek the shade for the best and safest riding.
Confidence
Moderate - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
We'll see little change in the weather pattern: valley cloud and cool temperatures down low but sunny and warm up high. MONDAY: Sunny with cloudy periods. Light southerly wind. Freezing level near 1200m with an above freezing layer around 3200 m. Alpine high temperatures near +3.TUESDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon. Light to moderate west wind. Freezing level near 1800 m with a colder air layer in the valleys. WEDNESDAY: Sunny with increasing cloud in the afternoon. Light westerly winds. Freezing level near valley bottom.
Avalanche Summary
Some small loose natural avalanches were reported on Saturday in the south of the region with the start of the warming. Overall, we have very limited data. Please submit your observations to the Mountain Information Network (MIN).
Snowpack Summary
Daytime warming is melting and weakening upper snowpack layers, particularly on steep sunny slopes. Warming also has the potential to wake up more deeply buried weak layers which formed in October and November. The late November crust is down 60-75cm and snowpack tests in the south of the region suggest the snow is bonding reasonably well there.Below treeline, the snowpack is shallow--look out for early season hazards like open creeks and tree stumps.
Problems
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.