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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 27th, 2017–Mar 28th, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Little Yoho.

The avalanche danger is slowly improving, and we cautiously move the treeline rating to MODERATE based largely on the lack of natural avalanche activity and stronger snowpack in the Little Yoho valley. Ice climbers - start early and be done early.

Weather Forecast

Snowfall expected over the next few days, with 5 cm on Tuesday, 10 cm on Wednesday and 3 cm on Thursday. Freezing levels should reach 1800m each day, with alpine temperatures ranging from -1 to -12. Winds are generally moderate but will pick up to strong through Tuesday night.

Snowpack Summary

10-15cm of soft snow sits on 100cm of dense, rounded snow comprising the upper half of the snowpack. This sits on a variety of foundations depending on location. In shallow areas (eg: Field ice climbs) the base is weak depth hoar. In deeper areas (eg: Little Yoho Valley), the base is stronger. Shears persist in the deep facets in shallow areas.

Avalanche Summary

We traveled in the Little Yoho Valley today and did not observe any fresh avalanches from the past 24-48 hours. No reports were received of any new avalanche activity in the Field, Emerald Lake or Little Yoho areas.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Cornices

Cornice Fall is the release of an overhanging mass of snow that forms as the wind moves snow over a sharp terrain feature, such as a ridge, and deposits snow on the downwind (leeward) side. Cornices range in size from small wind drifts of soft snow to large overhangs of hard snow that are 30 feet (10 meters) or taller. They can break off the terrain suddenly and pull back onto the ridge top and catch people by surprise even on the flat ground above the slope. Even small cornices can have enough mass to be destructive and deadly. Cornice Fall can entrain loose surface snow or trigger slab avalanches.