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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 12th, 2019–Mar 13th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

Conservative terrain selection is in order. Stick to low angle slopes and avoid terrain traps.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

10 to 15cm of snow is expected to fall Tuesday evening with light winds. Wednesday will be mostly cloudy with very light flurries and temperatures near -7 at ridge-top.

Avalanche Summary

A small natural avalanche cycle has occurred over the past 24 to 36 hours with thin wind slabs up to size 2.0 failing on all aspects in steeper terrain in the Alpine and Treeline elevation bands.

Snowpack Summary

There are wind slabs everywhere at all elevation on all aspects, except the most protected of terrain below treeline. Thin sun crusts have formed on solar aspects. The prolonged period of frigid temperatures has heavily faceted the snowpack, and there is no little strength to the midpack in most areas. Ski quality is poor in most areas. 10 to 15cm of new snow Tuesday evening will hopefully improve the snowpack, but probably won't be enough to lead to any significant changes from an avalanche perspective.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Loose Dry

Loose Dry avalanches are the release of dry unconsolidated snow and typically occur within layers of soft snow near the surface of the snowpack. These avalanches start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-dry avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs.