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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 18th, 2019–Feb 19th, 2019

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Cariboos.

There is potential for humans to trigger avalanches, especially at lower elevations where a persistent weak layer exists. A cautious approach to backcountry travel is recommended.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

MONDAY NIGHT - Clear with cloudy periods / southwest winds 10-20 km/h / alpine low temperature near -14TUESDAY - Mainly cloudy with isolated flurries, 2-4 cm / southwest winds 10-25 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10WEDNESDAY - Cloudy sunny periods and isolated flurries / north winds 10-20 km/h / alpine high temperature near -10THURSDAY - Mainly sunny with cloudy periods / northwest winds, 10-15 km/h / alpine high temperature near -13

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were reported on Sunday.On Saturday, a persistent slab avalanche was triggered by a skier on a north aspect on a 30 degree slope. Check out the MIN report here. These sorts of avalanches continue to be triggered by skiers and riders in the region. There was also evidence of large avalanches (up to size 3) that were triggered by strong wind in the north of the region. on Saturday.On Friday, two more small to large (size 1 to 2) persistent slab avalanches were triggered by humans. They were 50 to 70 cm deep and released on the mid-January surface hoar layer described in the Snowpack Summary. They occurred at treeline and alpine elevations on north to northwest aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Recent strong winds from variable directions, but most recently from the north, have blown around 5 to 10 cm of snow into wind slabs in exposed terrain.A touchy weak layer responsible for surprise avalanches and several close calls lies approximately 30 cm below the surface in shallow snowpack areas and 60 cm or more in deeper areas. This weak layer of surface hoar (feathery crystals) and facets (sugary snow) was buried in mid-January. On southerly aspects, the weak layer exists as a crust. This layer is most prevalent at treeline and below treeline elevations, but there have been a few reports of its presence in sheltered areas in the alpine. This layer is shallow enough to be triggered by humans, but deep enough to produce large avalanches.The lower snowpack is considered generally strong.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.