Avalanche forecast

Mount Shasta

Mount Shasta Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Due to the combination of fresh snow and strong winds, the current avalanche conditions pose a significant risk. You could trigger an avalanche large enough to bury you in wind-drifted snow near and above treeline on leeward, E-N-W aspects. Minimize your chances of encountering this hazard by sticking to uncomplicated, low-angle terrain and observing for blowing snow, shooting cracks, and collapsing.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    Yesterday, strong southwest wind and snowfall rates of up to an inch an hour built reactive wind slabs by early afternoon. Public observers and our forecast team triggered avalanches on leeward aspects and wind loaded features. Most of these triggers occurred remotely from a considerable distance and is good reason to be aware of steep, wind-loaded slopes above you. Over the last 12 hours, wind and snow accumulations have continued and will endure throughout the day. You are likely to find areas of wind-drifted snow on leeward, W-NW-N-NE-E aspects, especially near ridges and rock outcroppings. Backcountry travellers should also be heads up to a different style of wind loading: cross-loading. Cross-loading occurs when terrain features, such as gullies or stands of trees, perpendicular to the wind allow for transported snow to collect into drifts. Carefully evaluate the snowpack before committing to avalanche terrain and be vigilant for signs of instability: recent avalanches, shooting cracks, collapsing, and blowing snow. 

    Visual depiction of wind loading and cross-loading dynamics

    Photo: Illustration from Allen & Mike’s Avalanche Book by Allen O’Bannon and Mike Clelland (Falcon Guides).

Avalanche Discussion

Recent avalanches, shooting cracks, collapsing, rapidly accumulating new and wind blown snow are all red flag indicators of the Considerable avalanche danger out there today. The good news is there is plenty of fresh snow for folks to enjoy by playing it safe and avoiding wind-loaded slopes steeper than 30°.

Regions covered