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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 2nd, 2013–Feb 3rd, 2013

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Confidence

Fair - Due to variable snowpack conditions

Weather Forecast

Sunday: Very light snowfall occurring late in the day / Moderate to strong northwest winds / Alpine temperature of -1.0Monday: Very light snowfall / Moderate to strong northwest winds / Alpine temperature of -5.0Tuesday: Light snowfall / Light southwest winds / Alpine temperature of -7.0

Avalanche Summary

I would suspect some solar-induced loose wet avalanche activity in response to warming and strong solar input on Saturday. Human-triggered slabs (size 1 to 1.5) have also been failing on the Jan 23 interface. In many cases, these events have been on wind-loaded aspects.

Snowpack Summary

Recent NW winds have redistributed 15-40 cm of recent snow into soft or hard slabs on lee slopes in the alpine and at treeline. A weak interface of surface hoar, facets or sun crust buried on Jan 23 continues to be a concern among professionals in the region. Deeper, about 50-60cm down, a weak interface buried in early January has still shown moderate to hard, sudden results in snowpack tests. The snowpack below this is generally well bonded.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.