Persistent Slabs
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Unlikely
- Size
- 3
Saturdays, natural avalanche in Stairs Gulch highlights the lingering potential for large, hard slab avalanches failing on a persistent weak layer. The question remains: how likely are we to trigger one?
During the last storm, reported avalanches on this layer were rare. This could be due to the layer's strength, or simply poor visibility, masking activity, and storm snow filling in crown lines before we could document them. What we do know is that ski areas have been able to trigger some avalanches on this layer with large explosives as recently as Saturday morning.
Improved coverage and clear weather may tempt riders into new, data-sparse terrain. As we push out, travel cautiously and check snow depths frequently. High-elevation, rocky slopes with thin and variable snow depths are the most suspect. These are the spots where you may still be able to trigger a large avalanche.
Low probability to trigger, but if you do, the avalanche could be 2 to 5 feet deep and up to 200 feet wide.