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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 28th, 2016–Feb 29th, 2016

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kootenay Boundary.

Hazard levels will be one step higher in areas that receive more than 15cm of snow.

Confidence

Low - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain

Weather Forecast

5-10cm of snow by Monday morning with light to moderate southwest winds and Freezing levels staying below 1500m. Kootenay Pass could receive up to 20cm Sunday/night. Expect a break in the snow on Monday with light to moderate snow on Tuesday.  Winds stay generally light and Freezing levels low.

Avalanche Summary

On Saturday no new avalanches were reported in this region, but we expect this to change with Sunday's snow.

Snowpack Summary

Sunday's snow will bury the widespread surface hoar being reported up to 20mm in size on shady aspects at all elevations throughout the region. The moderate to strong winds associated with Sunday's storm will build fresh wind slabs on lee features in alpine. Cornices are large and looming. The mid February layer is down 70-100cm and is the primary layer of concern. This layer is a crust and generally well bonded to the overlying persistent slab. However, in isolated areas on northerly aspects between 1800-2100m the layer is surface hoar which means there are still a few "land mines" out there that if triggered could produce large destructive avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.