Loose Wet
- Alpine
- Treeline
- Below treeline
- Likelihood
- Likely
- Size
- 1–2
We're not quite sure how Thursday will play out. Temperatures will increase, and we've received 5 inches of water since Sunday night. This means upper elevations may have up to almost 5 feet of new snow, and some or all of it may wet avalanche, given the right conditions. It could start raining before the day is out, which may spike wet avalanche activity as well.
There's a chance we'll have a widespread wet avalanche cycle, and if so, avoid all avalanche terrain. Avalanches could grow large or even very large, gouging deep into the snow and running further than expected, especially in gullies. Or, conditions may stay subdued, and there may not be any remarkable activity.
Regardless, wet avalanches are usually the easiest ones to monitor and manage. For starters, this isn't a day to commit to routes where you can't avoid avalanche terrain. You can do your part by monitoring slopes:
- If there are large natural avalanches running, then keep it simple and avoid steep slopes and the terrain beneath them
- If there are no or few natural avalanches, you may still be able to trigger one on a steep slope. If you enter steep terrain, be cognizant of your surroundings and always have an exit strategy. Don't let one surprise you from behind because you will probably get trapped in it, which quite possibly will kill you.
Example photo: Large wet avalanches could result on Thursday, like these ones from a week ago at Hidden Lakes area. They frequently originate by rocks or trees. Photo: Val