Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 7 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

MODERATE avalanche danger continues at all elevations due to lingering wind slab and expected loose wet avalanche problems today.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    A wind slab avalanche problem lingers due to recent new snow and SW winds. The vast majority of wind slabs exist near treeline and above treeline on NW-N-NE-E-SE aspects. Avalanche size up to D2 is possible. Some of these wind slabs may take on some wet slab characteristics, especially on SE aspects.

    Identify the specific terrain features where unstable wind slabs may exist. Ridgetop areas below cornice features and wind pillows are the most suspect. Approach travel near these features with caution, opting for more conservative terrain choices if signs of instability exist.

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1

    Today is expected to be one of the first days when the higher sun angle and higher levels of incoming solar radiation associated with March affect stability. Natural roller balls are expected as snow falls off of rocks and trees in sun exposed areas. Some of these roller balls may trigger loose wet avalanches. Human triggered loose wet avalanches are likely today in steeper, sun exposed areas. The majority of loose wet instability is expected on E-SE-S-SW-W aspects at nearly all elevations. Loose wet avalanches are expected to a much lesser extent on NW-N-NE aspects but may also occur in areas of sun exposure. Avalanche size is expected at D1 with the isolated possibility to size D2.

    If roller balls are present, this avalanche problem may soon follow. Avoid complex terrain and long steep pitches where this instability is present. Downslope hazards such as cliffs and terrain traps could greatly magnify the consequences of being pushed around by a small loose wet avalanche.

Avalanche Discussion

* Small (size D1) wind slabs were reported yesterday from Incline Lake Peak (Mount Rose area) and from Elephant's Hump (Carson Pass area). Some larger avalanches in the size D2-D3 range were reported from near Blue Lakes (Carson Pass area) but details as to time/day of occurrence are unclear.

* Small (size D1) loose wet avalanches were intentionally skier triggered yesterday on a N aspect at ~9,200' on Incline Lake Peak (Mount Rose area). These were on the drier end of the loose wet spectrum.

* Snow level was in the 6,800' to 7,100' elevation range for much of the day on Sunday.

Regions covered