Avalanche forecast

Moab

Utah Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

  • Alpine
  • Treeline
  • Below treeline
Out of date — this forecast expired 3 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

Today there is a MODERATE danger for wet-loose avalanches on steep sun exposed slopes that face W-S-E. Ski and ride solar aspects early before the day heats up. Northerly aspects have cold snow and offer LOW avalanche danger. Travel smart and always practice safe travel protocols.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1

    It will be possible for skiers and riders to initiate wet-loose avalanches today on steep sun-exposed slopes. Observers yesterday reported solar aspects becoming very wet in the afternoon. Today is a repeat performance with sunny skies and temperatures above freezing. If you see roller balls or notice saturated, slushy snow, it is time to change aspects.

General Announcements

This forecast is from the U.S.D.A. Forest Service, which is solely responsible for its content. This forecast describes general avalanche conditions and local variations always occur. This forecast will be updated by 7:30 tomorrow morning.

Special Announcement

Geyser Pass Road: The road is open. 4x4 recommended. Expect the road to be wet, sloppy, and muddy in the afternoon.

Grooming: Trails were groomed into Gold Basin on Wednesday.

Recent Activity

A solo skier triggered this shallow, soft slab of wind drifted snow yesterday in Old Reliable on a NNE aspect at 11,300 ft.

See the La Sal avalanche database here.

Snow and Weather

6:00 a.m. Snow and Weather Data

24 Hour Snow 0" 72 Hour Snow 0" Season Total Snow 315" Base Depth at Gold Basin 108"

Temp 22 F Winds on Pre-Laurel Peak: S 19 G 27

Weather

It is currently 22 degrees in Gold Basin. We will see partly sunny skies today and a high around 34 degrees. SW winds are forecast to blow 10-15 mph. Tomorrow we will see plenty of sunshine and highs will reach the low 40's. The big warm-up comes early in the week with highs reaching 50 in the mountains.

General Conditions

Strong Southerly winds, warm temperatures, and intense April sun are taking a toll on the snowpack. Yesterday winds blew out of the SSE in the 30 mph range all day, stripping windward slopes in the alpine. We found high elevation North faces to have the best snow. Lose some elevation, and the skiing gets slow and manky. Solar aspects will be crusted over this morning. You can travel safely on the solars early in the day, but as things heat up you will want to move to more Northerly aspects to avoid wet avalanche activity. You may encounter shallow, soft slabs of wind drifted snow in isolated areas on slopes with a Northerly or Easterly component to their aspect.

Snowpack and Weather Data

Gold Basin Storm Stake (10,000')

Gold Basin SNOTEL site (10,000')

SNOTEL site near Geyser Pass Winter Trailhead (9600')

Wind Station on Pre-Laurel Peak (11,400')

NWS forecast for the La Sal Mountains.

Additional Info

This graph is from the Snotel site near the Geyser Pass Winter TH. The black line is our current season. Total SWE is 230% of normal.

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