Avalanche forecast

Central Sierra Nevada

Sierra Avalanche Center
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Avalanche danger

Wed
Alpine
4 · High
Treeline
4 · High
Below
4 · High
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Highlights

A powerful storm will bring heavy snow, rain on snow, and strong winds to the forecast region.  Widespread avalanche activity is expected at all elevations today.  Travel in, near, or below avalanche terrain is not recommended.

Avalanche problems

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1.5–3

    This strong atmospheric river storm is bringing heavy snow, gale force winds, and warming temperatures with rising snow levels.  2 to 3 feet of snow is expected at the higher elevations by Wednesday morning.  Gale force S-SW winds are transporting snow and creating slabs of wind blown snow along ridges, in gully features, and on open slopes.  These slabs of wind blown snow have been forming overnight with over a foot of new snow in some areas and gale force winds.  Storm slabs will become more reactive as the day progresses with warming temperatures and rising snow levels leading to heavier dense snow overloading lighter less dense snow.  Snow levels are forecasted to rise to 7500-8000' later today. 

    At higher elevations, multiple feet of heavy snow is expected.  This heavy snow could overload the previous surface rain crust that overlies weak faceted snow in mid to higher elevation locations.  Any avalanches that fail into old weak snow layers would have the potential to be much larger in size with wider propagation.  At lower elevation areas, the old surface rain crust will be an efficient bed surface for this new storm snow to run on.  As temperatures and snow levels rise through the day, storm slab avalanches could have wet snow characteristics.     

    (2/2/2025) Wide propagating natural storm slab avalanche.  Ward Canyon. 

    Photo: Public

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Very Likely
    Size
    1–2

    Widespread wet loose avalanche activity will occur as temperatures and snow levels are expected to rise to 7500-8000' today.  New snow overnight and through this morning will become deep, wet, and unstable as snow levels rise.  Roller balls, pinwheels, and much larger wet loose avalanches involving all of the new storm snow could occur on all aspects.  Wet snow problems will also extend slightly higher in elevation into areas where heavy wet snow falls instead of rain.  The surface rain crust from the last storm will be a very efficient bed surface for these wet loose avalanches to run on. 

Avalanche Discussion

Avoid traveling in, near, or below avalanche terrain. If you are intent on heading out into the backcountry today, here are some things to consider.  Pay very close attention to the terrain you choose to travel in. Stick to low angle, non-avalanche terrain slopes without steeper slopes above or to the side. Use maps and observations to ensure you are not in or even close to the runout zones of any potential avalanche paths. Poor visibility may make figuring out what is above you much harder than usual today. Remember that you don’t have to be on a steep slope to be caught in an avalanche that starts from above you. Small terrain features that may seem benign, such as road cuts or creekbeds, could also be dangerous today. The weather and avalanche conditions in the backcountry today drastically reduce the margins of safety. Please plan and travel accordingly.

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