Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Feb 4th, 2016 8:26AM
The alpine rating is Storm Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Moderate - Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain
Weather Forecast
20-30 cm overnight with extreme southwest winds and freezing level around 800 metres. Another 10-20 cm during the day on Friday with strong southwest winds and freezing levels around 800 metres. Light snow on Saturday with moderate southerly winds and freezing levels about 500 metres. On Sunday, expect increasing southerly winds, rising freezing levels, and moderate precipitation.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches reported from the south of the region. On Wednesday in the north of the region there were skier controlled and remotely triggered avalanches up to size 1.5 in the storm snow or on the rain crust from the late January storm. Conditions are expected to change rapidly overnight with storm slabs developing on all aspects and at all elevations.
Snowpack Summary
In the north of the region there is 20-30 cm of new snow that has been transported into deep windslabs above loose facetted snow in sheltered areas, and stiff old wind effected surfaces in exposed terrain. In the south of the region we have reports of 10-20 cm of new snow that is sitting on a new surface hoar layer that was buried on February 3rd. Wind slabs developed in the lee of southeast winds on Wednesday, and more widespread storm slabs developed on Thursday. The January 9th surface hoar/facet layer is down 70-150 cm in most places, and remains a concern on all aspects and elevations, especially with heavy and/or thin-spot triggers. Around the same depth you may also find a surface hoar/facet interface from around New Years. There continues to be a lot of uncertainty regarding the reactivity and distribution of this destructive persistent avalanche problem. A conservative approach to mountain travel is still required.
Problems
Storm Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Feb 5th, 2016 2:00PM