Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 31st, 2021 8:14AM

The alpine rating is considerable, the treeline rating is considerable, and the below treeline rating is moderate. Known problems include Storm Slabs and Loose Dry.

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A variable snowpack and potentially strong solar input today is keeping the hazard elevated. Winter avalanche conditions prevail at higher elevations, even if it feels a lot like Spring in the valley.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Expect a mix of sun and could today. Freezing levels are forecast to rise to 2000m, winds will be moderate from the SW, and we may get a trace of snow this morning. Similar weather conditions can be expected tonight and tomorrow. No significant snow is forecasted until the weekend, where we may see up to 25cm of new snow.

Snowpack Summary

Since Friday, Rogers Pass has received ~95cm of snow at treeline. The storm came in with warm temperatures and moderate to strong wind, forming storm slabs. These storm slabs remain reactive to skier triggering on specific terrain features in the Alpine and at Treeline. The March 18th layer is now buried 60-100cm depending on aspect and elevation.

Avalanche Summary

A skier accidental occurred yesterday on Teddy Bear Trees. The slab avalanche was at least a size 2.5, failing either as a storm slab, or on the March 18th persistent slab interface. Field techs will investigate further today. Another MIN report of skier accidentals and remotes in the Hermit Moraines area yesterday, click here for more details.

Confidence

Due to the number of field observations

Problems

Storm Slabs

An icon showing Storm Slabs

A significant storm Sunday brought plenty of snow, wind, and warm temperatures to Rogers Pass. Skier triggering of this storm slab remains possible to likely on specific terrain features in the Alpine and at Treeline.

  • Use caution in lee and cross-loaded terrain near ridge crests.
  • Watch for signs of instability such as whumpfing, or cracking.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2.5

Loose Dry

An icon showing Loose Dry

If the sun comes out this afternoon, we should see a small loose dry cycle in steep terrain features on solar aspects.

Aspects: South East, South, South West, West.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Apr 1st, 2021 8:00AM