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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Apr 15th, 2021–Apr 18th, 2021
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be considerable
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be considerable
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable
Alpine
4: High
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be high
Treeline
4: High
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be high
Below Treeline
3: Considerable
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be considerable

Regions: Waterton Lakes.

The potential is there to have a widespread avalanche cycle with the given forecast for this weekend.

Weather Forecast

The weekend is forecasted for high freeze levels and strong solar input. The last forecasted good freeze is Friday night.

Avalanche Canada's Mountain Weather Forecast is a great regional-scale resource for up-to-date weather information. SPOTWX is a good resource for local scale weather forecasts.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 30cm of recent snow in the alpine with minimal wind effect. This sits on a supportive crust that exists to ridgetop except on high north faces. Overall a well consolidated snowpack. With warming temps we expect the snowpack to become isothermal over the weekend.

Avalanche Summary

We suspect a widespread avalanche cycle on all aspects to mountain top with forecasted freezing levels and solar input over the weekend. 

Please consider submitting a MIN report if you see an avalanches.

Confidence

Freezing levels are uncertain on Saturday

Avalanche Problems

Loose Wet

Forecasted freezing levels coming into the weekend have the potential to produce a widespread loose wet cycle and historically this is when some of the deeper instabilities have been know to make a resurgence.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 3.5

Cornices

The cornices that have built throughout the season may hit the critical state with the forcasted warming trend.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2.5