Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Jan 11th, 2018 4:01PM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is moderate, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada mconlan, Avalanche Canada

Watch for touchy wind slabs at all elevations.

Summary

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Increasing cloudiness over the day with light snowfall starting in the afternoon, accumulation 2-5 cm overnight, strong outflow winds possible, alpine temperature near -10 C, freezing level below valley bottom.SATURDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light to moderate southerly winds, alpine temperature -4 C but cold in the valleys, freezing level below valley bottom with inversion conditions.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, moderate to strong southerly winds, alpine temperature near 2 C but colder air possible in the valleys, freezing level near 1800 m with inversion conditions.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, skiers were able to trigger pockets of wind slab on north-to north-west facing slopes.  A few size 1- 1.5 storm slabs and loose dry avalanches were reported on Monday between 1250 and 1600 m.

Snowpack Summary

Variable winds are likely building slabs on many different slopes. Recent snow (around 20-30 cm) overlies various surfaces including a freezing rain crust (which was reported as being hard in the alpine and breakable below treeline), old sun crusts and wind slabs.A variable weak layer that formed in mid-December can be found in the upper snowpack. This mid-December layer is comprised of crusts on solar aspects and feathery surface hoar in sheltered locations.The lower snowpack is generally well settled with two prominent crusts. The late-November crust can be found 30-50 cm below the surface and the October crust is near the base of the snowpack.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Recent outflow winds are likely creating stiff wind slabs.  Wind slabs formed from the last storm may also linger in lee features.
Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind-loaded snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Jan 12th, 2018 2:00PM