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Avalanche Forecast

Jan 11th, 2018–Jan 12th, 2018
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be moderate

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Watch for touchy wind slabs at all elevations.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

FRIDAY: Increasing cloudiness over the day with light snowfall starting in the afternoon, accumulation 2-5 cm overnight, strong outflow winds possible, alpine temperature near -10 C, freezing level below valley bottom.SATURDAY: Cloudy with light snowfall, accumulation 1 to 3 cm, light to moderate southerly winds, alpine temperature -4 C but cold in the valleys, freezing level below valley bottom with inversion conditions.SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy, moderate to strong southerly winds, alpine temperature near 2 C but colder air possible in the valleys, freezing level near 1800 m with inversion conditions.

Avalanche Summary

On Tuesday, skiers were able to trigger pockets of wind slab on north-to north-west facing slopes.  A few size 1- 1.5 storm slabs and loose dry avalanches were reported on Monday between 1250 and 1600 m.

Snowpack Summary

Variable winds are likely building slabs on many different slopes. Recent snow (around 20-30 cm) overlies various surfaces including a freezing rain crust (which was reported as being hard in the alpine and breakable below treeline), old sun crusts and wind slabs.A variable weak layer that formed in mid-December can be found in the upper snowpack. This mid-December layer is comprised of crusts on solar aspects and feathery surface hoar in sheltered locations.The lower snowpack is generally well settled with two prominent crusts. The late-November crust can be found 30-50 cm below the surface and the October crust is near the base of the snowpack.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Recent outflow winds are likely creating stiff wind slabs.  Wind slabs formed from the last storm may also linger in lee features.
Avoid exposure to terrain traps where the consequences of a small avalanche could be serious.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind-loaded snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: All elevations.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2