Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 31st, 2017–Jan 1st, 2018

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Alpine

2: Moderate

The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate

Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low

Below Treeline

1: Low

The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Coastal.

Pockets of reactive wind slab remain a concern for wind-exposed alpine and treeline areas. New snow and south west wind on Monday will heighten avalanche danger.

Confidence

Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain

Weather Forecast

We're looking at a small amount of snow through Monday and some lingering flurries for the week as temperatures gradually warm up.MONDAY: Cloudy, flurries. Accumulation 5-10 cm. Ridge wind moderate to strong southwest. Temperature -6. Freezing level 400 m with an above freezing layer (AFL) from 1200m to 1700m. TUESDAY: Cloudy with some flurries (2-5 cm possible). Ridge wind moderate south west. Temperature -5. Freezing level 500m with an AFL from 1200m to 1700m. WEDNESDAY: Cloudy with isolated flurries. Ridge wind moderate from the south. Temperatures -4. Freezing level 400m with an AFL from 1100m to 1900m.

Avalanche Summary

On Thursday an isolated wind slab release (size 1.5) was observed on an actively wind loaded, steep terrain feature in the northern part of the region.

Snowpack Summary

Cold temperatures and strong winds (from the south east, and more recently from the west) have affected the surface snow over the past week, scouring some slopes down to an old crust and forming hard deposits in many other areas. There are some lingering wind slabs, found on a variety of old surfaces including a thick melt-freeze crust that formed in mid-December. In non-wind affected terrain, 20-40 cm of unconsolidated (aka faceted or 'sugary') snow overlies the mid-December crust layer. This snow has been sluffing in steep terrain.Beneath the mid-December crust the snowpack is reported to be generally strong with the possible exception of areas around Stewart and northern parts of the region where the late-October, basal crust can be found near the base of the snowpack. Weak sugary snow may exist around this basal crust and could be triggered from shallow snowpack areas.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind slabs may be lingering around ridge crests, exposed gullies and cross-loaded slopes. These wind slabs may be poorly bonded to the buried mid-December crust layer and reactive to human triggers such as a skier or rider.

Be cautious as you transition into wind affected terrain.Watch for whumpfing, stiff or hollow sounding snow, and shooting cracks.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2