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Archived

Avalanche Forecast

Dec 17th, 2017–Dec 18th, 2017
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be moderate
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low
Alpine
2: Moderate
The avalanche danger rating in the alpine will be moderate
Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating at treeline will be low
Below Treeline
1: Low
The avalanche danger rating below treeline will be low

Regions: Northwest Inland.

Travel with intention so that you avoid potentially wind loaded slopes just below ridge crest as well as thin rocky alpine features, where it may still be possible to trigger old deeply buried weaknesses.

Confidence

Low - Due to the number of field observations

Weather Forecast

The Northwest Inland is expected to be relatively cool and dry for the forecast period as a more zonal pattern favors the regions along the 49th parallel. A trace of snow is possible on Monday before yet another ridge takes over for the foreseeable future.MONDAY: Scattered cloud cover, freezing level at valley bottom, moderate west wind, trace of snow possible.TUESDAY: Clouds clearing through the day, freezing level at valley bottom, light variable wind, no new snow expected.WEDNESDAY: A few clouds, freezing level at valley bottom, strong to extreme northwest wind, no new snow expected.

Avalanche Summary

No recent avalanche observations.  Please submit your information to the Mountain Information Network.

Snowpack Summary

The inland region picked up 5 to 15cm of new snow over the weekend accompanied by wind that was largely out of the west, but there were periods of southeast wind recorded too.  This new snow rests on a wide variety of old surfaces including small facets, crusts on solar aspects and stubborn old wind slabs near ridge crest.  In protected areas below 1500m the new snow may be sitting on previously formed feathery surface hoar.Two crusts formed near the end of November are found approximately 30 to 50cm below the surface.  These crusts are widespread and extend into the alpine.  Previous snowpack tests produced hard results on these crusts, but we have not seen any recent information about their sensitivity to triggering.  Below these crusts, a well settled mid-pack overlies the late October crust which is down near the ground.  The October crust is widespread and has not been reactive to human triggering since the end of November. Average snowpack depths in the region are between 80 and 140cm at treeline, with up to 160cm in the alpine.

Avalanche Problems

Wind Slabs

These wind slabs are most likely to be found immediately lee of ridge crest and around mid-slope terrain features like rock outcroppings. While relatively small, these could be problematic in complex terrain.
Avoid steep convexities or areas with a thin or variable snowpack.Be careful with wind loaded pockets, especially near ridge crests and roll-overs.Use ridges or ribs to avoid pockets of wind loaded snow.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Possible

Expected Size: 1 - 2

Deep Persistent Slabs

The late October crust lies near the base of the snowpack and while it should be gaining strength, a heavy trigger in a thin rocky terrain feature may still be able to initiate a failure and subsequent large avalanche.
Be aware of the possibility for full depth avalanches due to deeply buried weak layers.Be especially cautious in shallow snowpack areas, it may be possible to trigger large avalanches.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood: Unlikely - Possible

Expected Size: 2 - 3