Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Mar 15th, 2017 4:15PM

The alpine rating is high, the treeline rating is high, and the below treeline rating is high. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.

Avalanche Canada aaron beardmore, Avalanche Canada

Rain and warm temperatures continue to induce a large avalanche cycle. A cooling trend on Friday will be short lived, after which a second wave of weather will impact the forecast region.

Summary

Weather Forecast

Continued warm temps are expected tomorrow, followed by a cooling trend on Friday. The wind is supposed to stay elevated in the strong range from the West. A second wave of precip is expected, yet again, on Saturday, accompanied by temperatures near zero.

Snowpack Summary

Additional snowfall and very warm temperatures have tipped the snowpack and an avalanche cycle is still underway. A 50 cm dense slab has overloaded two prominent weaknesses in the snowpack; one down 40cm and the other in facets near the base of the snowpack. Expect rain soaked snow at low elevation and the avalanche cycle to continue.

Avalanche Summary

A major avalanche cycle is underway, avoid avalanche terrain.

Confidence

Timing, track, or intensity of incoming weather system is uncertain on Saturday

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs

A 40-50cm cohesive windslab exists at higher elevations, and in specific wind effected areas near treeline. This slab reacts easily to tests and is producing avalanches.

  • Use caution in lee areas. Recent wind loading have created wind slabs.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East, South, South West.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely - Very Likely

Expected Size

1 - 3

Persistent Slabs

An icon showing Persistent Slabs

Several buried weak layers in the middle of the snowpack are gaining strength over time as they become bridged, but they may be waking back up during this avalanche cycle. Avoid avalanche terrain now.

  • Dig down to find and test weak layers before committing to a line.

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Likely

Expected Size

2 - 3

Valid until: Mar 16th, 2017 4:00PM