Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 9th, 2012 9:21AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs and Cornices.

Avalanche Canada jlammers, Avalanche Canada

Summary

Confidence

Good - -1

Weather Forecast

A firmly embedded ridge of high pressure over Alberta seems to be causing systems to fizzle once they reach the Columbia Mountains. On Friday light snowfall is expected but should taper-off with only trace amounts forecast for Saturday/Sunday. Winds should be light and west/northwesterly throughout the period with freezing levels peaking at about 1100m.

Avalanche Summary

Avalanche activity over the past few days has been mostly limited to cornice fall and isolated small windslabs.

Snowpack Summary

Very warm alpine temperatures from last weekend melted snow surfaces and a crust now exists to ridge top on solar aspects. In general, the upper snowpack is now well settled and riders are shredding pretty much everything. The exception may be isolated wind slabs that formed at higher elevations with moderate alpine winds on Monday/Tuesday. Deeper weaknesses in the snowpack seem to less of a concern; however, in the southern end of the region there is still talk of basal facets as some operators are avoiding thin and rocky alpine features. This represents a very low probability-high consequence scenario. Large, unstable cornices are also widespread in the alpine. A dusting of new snow now sits on weak snow crystals that developed during the week (surface hoar/crusts/facets). This will be the thing to watch as the overlying slab evolves.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Moderate winds from earlier in the week have set up wind slabs on lee features at higher elevations. They should be gaining strength, but rider triggering may still be possible.

Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 3

Cornices

An icon showing Cornices
Large and unsupported cornices exist in the alpine. Failing cornices are destructive by themselves and have potential to trigger avalanches on the slope below.

Aspects: North, North East, East.

Elevations: Alpine.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 6

Valid until: Feb 10th, 2012 3:00AM