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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 13th, 2014–Jan 14th, 2014

Alpine
Widespread avalanches certain.
Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Below Treeline
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Alpine
Natural and human triggered avalanches likely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Glacier.

Go to the ski hill. Avoid being in the backcountry untilĀ  tomorrow.

Weather Forecast

This current storm is forecast to last until early this afternoon with mild temperatures, high snow fall amounts and strong winds. Unsettled weather into tonight bringing light snow and cooler temperatures with easing winds. A high pressure ridge is building and will move over the interior by tomorrow keeping things mostly dry into Wednesday.

Snowpack Summary

30cm of new storm snow that is moist below 1400m. It is sitting over snow with much lighter densities pronouncing the storm snow instabilities. The November 28 surface hoar layer is spotty but still well preserved in certain locations. The mid pack is well settled and the lower snow pack is continually gaining strength.

Avalanche Summary

A natural avalanche cycle has already begun early this morning setting off large avalanches to size 3.0 in the highway corridor more are expected throughout the region as the storm continues and visibility improves.

Confidence

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.