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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 17th, 2015–Mar 18th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Glacier.

Freezing levels are forecast to rise and the sun effect should be strong today. Subtle changes to the snowpack are what catch backcountry riders off guard.

Weather Forecast

High pressure ridge will keep the skies mainly clear today with thin cloud forecast as the day progresses. The ridge will break down by tomorrow and we will have increasing cloudiness and rising freezing levels for Wednesday. No precipitation is expected until Thursday when a Pacific system is expected to arrive to the Interior.

Snowpack Summary

At treeline and above, pockets of wind slab up to 30cm thick formed by strong to extreme winds from last Saturday night overlie a combination of crusts, settled and faceted snow. The Feb19th surface hoar down 45cm has variable distribution. Below 1800m the surface is a crust formed by 10-15mm of rain from last Saturday depending on elevation.

Avalanche Summary

Whumphing has been observed in the Hermit area ~2000m yesterday. Two days ago skiers reported triggering a Sz 2.5 avalanche in the Ursus area 25cm deep, 150-200m wide. Lots of whumphing was observed at TL on that day in the Connaught Drainage

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.