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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Feb 27th, 2014–Feb 28th, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Jasper.

Cold daytime temps returning to the forecast area and the sunshine continues.

Weather Forecast

Clear skies and cold temperatures are expected to return overnight and day time temperatures could be in the negative high teens and remain like that through the weekend.  Snow is in the forecast but not likely to materialize until after the weekend.

Snowpack Summary

The snowpack is well settled with a very supportive mid-pack above 1,900m. Within this elevation range a concerning weakness can be found consisting of decomposing surface hoar and or facetted grains. This may be found 30-70cm down. Currently a failure is hard to trigger. Solar facing slopes below 1,900m will have a sun crust.

Avalanche Summary

No new natural avalanches were observed or reported.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.