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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 30th, 2012–Mar 31st, 2012

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

An additional 20cm is forecast to fall over the next 24hrs. SW Winds will quickly build windslabs in open wind affected terrain and cause stability to deteriorate. Also, watch for concerns associated with daytime warming.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

An additional 15-20cm is forecast to fall over the next 24hrs with the main pulse of precip starting mid-day on Saturday. Freezing levels are forecast to climb to 2100m.

Avalanche Summary

No new Avalanche activity was observed on Friday but visibility was limited.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 20cm HST is overlying a variety of different layers depending on aspect and elevation. Below 2200m a temperature crust can be found on all aspects. The new snow appears to be bonding to this crust well in areas observed on Friday. At treeline and above, the new snow is being redistributed by the SW flow building storm slabs up to 40cm thick. Valentines day surface hoar layer is down 150 and producing hard to no results.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.