Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Regions
South Coast.
The recent storm snow may be reactive at the highest elevations, especially in wind loaded terrain. Extra caution is needed around steep sun exposed slopes when the sun is out.
Confidence
Low - Due to the number of field observations
Weather Forecast
A mix of sun and cloud is expected on Sunday. Alpine wind is expected to be light to moderate from the north. Freezing levels are forecast to fall to around 800 m Saturday overnight and reach around 1100 m on Sunday afternoon. Mostly sunny conditions are expected on Monday with light alpine wind and freezing levels reaching around 1400 m in the afternoon. A mix of sun and cloud is currently forecast for Tuesday with freezing levels reaching around 1800 m and moderate alpine wind from the south.
Avalanche Summary
No new avalanches have been reported but observations have been very limited. A MIN post from Wednesday describes natural loose wet activity from steep slopes. Click here for more details.On Sunday, solar triggered sluffing is possible on steep sun exposed slopes. Wind slabs may be reactive in high north facing terrain.
Snowpack Summary
Recent snowpack observations have been very limited and confidence is low. Freezing levels reached around 1500 m on Saturday with light rain at lower elevations and new snow up high. Sun on Thursday and Friday likely formed a melt-freeze crust on all sun exposed slopes. Dry snow may still exist on the highest north facing slopes in the alpine. Tuesday and Wednesday saw very heavy amounts of precipitation. The freezing level hovered around tree line during that time, however it can be expected that 70-100cm of snow fell at the highest elevations. The new snow would have been redistributed by moderate to strong southwest wind and is sitting on a well settled lower snowpack. Rain below treeline has soaked the snowpack which is expected to be isothermal.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Loose Wet
Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.