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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 19th, 2015–Jan 20th, 2015

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay.

Parks Canada is planning Avalanche Control on Mt. Dennis for Tuesday January 20. No ice climbing or travel in this area please. TH

Weather Forecast

Temperatures should cool, and skies should clear as the winds shift to the NW Tuesday under the influence of a high pressure system. A series of lows will be pushed well North as a result of this high but clouds should return mid day Wednesday with increasing winds, a chance of light snow arriving overnight, and temperatures rising into Thursday. 

Snowpack Summary

At Treeline and above, 15 to 25cm of recent snow with west winds has created slabs on facets, surface hoar, sun crust on steep South slopes and hard windslabs along ridge crests Treeline and above. In general the snowpack is weak with well developed faceting at the Dec 18 interface down 35 to 50cm and depth hoar commonly seen in the bottom 30cm.

Avalanche Summary

On an avalanche control flight today to the Sunshine road, 8 of 9 shots produced significant avalanches and 3 natural avalanches were observed. Most of these initiated in the recent storm slabs 20 cm deep but several also stepped down to the Dec 18 interface to a depth of 50cm. Crowns were as wide as 150m and several events ran up to 1km.

Confidence

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.