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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 21st, 2017–Jan 22nd, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Kananaskis.

The snowpack is not trustworthy at the moment. Use low angle terrain to limit your exposure to avalanches.

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

The current trend is for increasingly high pressure to approach as the week goes on. With this we'll see no significant precip, stable temps and light winds. Tomorrow will see highs of -9 in the alpine with light southerly winds.

Avalanche Summary

Nothing new today.

Snowpack Summary

The below tree line snow pack is still terrible. 50-60cm of facets makes trail breaking frustratingly difficult and tediously slow. Ground hazards are barely buried.Moving up to treeline, there are three distinct layers/interfaces to watch for. The top 40-60cm is a series of laminated windslabs of varying densities. In some windloaded areas, there may be failures within these slabs. This layer will likely react as one solid layer if initiated. Below that lies the Dec 18th facet layer. In today's trip to Tent Ridge, this interface/layer was very prominent. Tests had a consistent failure down 60cm within this facet layer. Below this lies the third main layer which is made up of the various crusts from earlier this winter. In general it seems to be relatively solid. In the alpine it is similar, except for the additional windslabs on the surface.

Problems

Persistent Slabs

Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.