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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Apr 1st, 2017–Apr 2nd, 2017

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Kananaskis.

A minimal freeze is expected overnight on Saturday and the chance for strong radiation on Sunday will keep the danger at the Considerable danger. 

Confidence

High -

Weather Forecast

Temperatures are forecast to cool over the next few days with freezing levels dropping to around 1500m.  A mix of sun and cloud with light flurries should be expected but there wont be too much accumulation. Winds will continue to be moderate at upper elevations out of the SW.  Clouds are forecast to remain in the region overnight, so we arent expecting to get a good freeze at lower elevations.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanche activity was noted on Saturday.

Snowpack Summary

There was a minimal freeze overnight and light snow (rain at lower elevations) was falling throuhgout the day although accumulations were limited.  Winds did increase out of the west and as a result we can expect the windslab problem to be a bit more widespread in alpine areas.  Overall the mid-pack of the snowpack is fairly strong but its sitting overtop of a weak sugary basal layer that is up to 50cm thick in some areas.  Thin areas are places to avoid where you may be able to trigger this weakness.  At this time of year, the quality of the freeze overnight as well as the temperature and input of solar radiation can have a profound impact on stability.  If there is a poor freeze overnight expect stability to decrease quickly as temperatures warm up.  Pay close attention to the aspect you are travelling on and what is overhead.  Steep solar aspects will decrease in stability quickly as the sun comes out so start early and finish early. 

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.