Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Regions
Northwest Inland.
Watch for wind slabs on a variety of slopes at treeline and alpine elevations.
Confidence
Moderate - Intensity of incoming weather systems is uncertain on Friday
Weather Forecast
FRIDAY: 2-10 cm snow. Freezing level near 500 m. Moderate to strong westerly winds. SATURDAY: Light snow. Freezing level near 300 m. Moderate winds. SUNDAY: Flurries. Freezing level near 600 m. Moderate winds.More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.
Avalanche Summary
Rapid wind loading caused a natural avalanche cycle to size 2.5 on Wednesday. With ongoing moderate to strong winds forecast, wind slabs will remain possible to trigger over the next few days. Persistent slabs could still be triggered from thin-to-thick snowpack areas, or with a heavy load like a cornice fall.
Snowpack Summary
The snowpack has gone through several bouts of fighting with strong to extreme northerly winds in the last week. You are likely to encounter wind slabs in many places. Variable surface conditions include fragile cornices, hard and soft wind slabs, and scoured surfaces. The wind slabs sit on various old surfaces including sun crusts, facets and spotty surface hoar (which is most prevalent in sheltered treed locations). Around 50-150 cm down, you will find a crust/surface hoar layer from mid-January, which still has the chance to surprise you and could be triggered from a thin snowpack spot, or with a large trigger like cornice fall. Facets at the base of the snowpack can possibly be triggered from shallow snowpack areas.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.
Persistent Slabs
Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) in the middle to upper snowpack, when the bond to an underlying persistent weak layer breaks. Persistent layers include: surface hoar, depth hoar, near-surface facets, or faceted snow. Persistent weak layers can continue to produce avalanches for days, weeks or even months, making them especially dangerous and tricky. As additional snow and wind events build a thicker slab on top of the persistent weak layer, this avalanche problem may develop into a Deep Persistent Slab.