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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 14th, 2026–Jan 15th, 2026

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

South Coast, North Shore, Sasquatch, Sky Pilot, Tetrahedron.

As the day warms and the sun shines, the surface crust will melt, increasing loose wet avalanche potential.

Confidence

High

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

A large wet avalanche cycle occurred during the tail end of our most recent storm. The rain has stopped, and a crust now caps the wet snow. As the crust deteriorates during the day, loose wet avalanches are possible.

Snowpack Summary

A thin crust overlies a saturated snowpack. Our most recent storm snow is fully rain-soaked. The thin surface crust that formed overnight will break down as the day warms.

The mid and lower snowpack is well-bonded. Two crusts exist down 50 and 150 cm. These crusts are not currently a concern. The height of snow is currently 100-200 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 3000 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 10 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

Problems

Loose Wet

Loose Wet avalanches are the release of wet unconsolidated snow or slush. These avalanches typically occur within layers of wet snow near the surface of the snowpack, but they may quickly gouge into lower snowpack layers. Like Loose Dry Avalanches, they start at a point and entrain snow as they move downhill, forming a fan-shaped avalanche. Other names for loose-wet avalanches include point-release avalanches or sluffs. Loose Wet avalanches can trigger slab avalanches that break into deeper snow layers.