Avalanche forecast

South Coast

Jan 15 – 16, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Sat
Sun
Alpine
1 · Low
Treeline
1 · Low
Below
1 · Low
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Highlights

As the day warms and the sun shines, the surface crust will melt, increasing loose wet avalanche potential.

Avalanche problems

  • Loose Wet

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Unlikely - Possible
    Size
    1–1.5

    Once the warm weather and sun breaks down the surface crust, loose wet avalanches are possible.

Confidence

High

  • Confidence is due to a stable weather pattern with little change expected.

Avalanche Summary

A large wet avalanche cycle occurred during the tail end of our most recent storm. The rain has stopped, and a crust now caps the wet snow. As the crust deteriorates during the day, loose wet avalanches are possible.

Snowpack Summary

A thin crust overlies a saturated snowpack. Our most recent storm snow is fully rain-soaked. The thin surface crust that formed overnight will break down as the day warms.

The mid and lower snowpack is well-bonded. Two crusts exist down 50 and 150 cm. These crusts are not currently a concern. The height of snow is currently 100-200 cm at treeline.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. 20 km/h northwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 3 °C. Freezing level 2600 m.

Thursday
Sunny. 20 km/h west ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 5 °C. Freezing level 3000 m.

Friday
Sunny. 20 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 8 °C. Freezing level 3200 m.

Saturday
Sunny. 10 km/h east ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature 10 °C. Freezing level 3300 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avalanche activity is unlikely when a thick melt-freeze crust is present on the snow surface.
  • A moist or wet snow surface, pinwheeling, and natural avalanches are all indicators of a weakening snowpack.

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