Avalanche forecast

Kananaskis

Jan 3 – 4, 2026Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Mon
Tue
Alpine
2 · Moderate
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
1 · Low

Highlights

Avalanche danger could be higher than expected if more snow arrives than what is in the forecast. Be alert for localized conditions. Wind slabs are widespread ay upper elevations, but good skiing is found in sheltered areas.

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5

    Stiff upper snowpack and/or a drummy feeling should put you on guard for wind slabs. Be on alert as you transition into Treeline features.

  • Deep Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    2–3.5

    Thin areas are locations where it is more likely to trigger this weakness.

Weather Summary

Sunday will bring flurries with accumulations of up to 15cm possible. Temps should be near -4C for a high with continued strong Westerly winds.

https://hpfx.collab.science.gc.ca/~fsg006/productviewer/ab/table/AB_Rockies_Forecast.html

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Keep in mind that human triggering may persist as natural avalanches taper off.
  • Avoid slopes that sound hollow or drum-like.
  • Avoid steep terrain, including convex rolls, or areas with a thin, rocky, or variable snowpack.

Confidence

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches were observed or report on Saturday.

On Thursday a size 2.5 skier/snowshoer remote avalanche was triggered from 1m away on a NW aspect at treeline on Little Chester peak. This avalanche had wide propagation and appearred to step down to the November crust/ground in a few areas.

Another sz 3 avalanche was reported on Thursday near Burstall Pass that crossed the valley floor burying the commonly travelled trail. Wind loading is the suspected trigger.

Snowpack Summary

A few cm's over the last 2 days has buried the surface hoar up to 2200m. In most open places at Treeline and above, the wind has eliminated this layer of surface hoar. Wind slabs are widespread in the Alpine and open areas at Treeline, averaging 30 to 70cm thick. This surface wind slab is producing a moderate shear on decomposed crystals at Treeline locations in recent days. If you notice a drummy feel to the snowpack, consider the terrain you are connected to, both under your feet and above you. Stiff wind slabs could travel across a feature and create a large avalanche. The November crust still lingers at the base of the snowpack down 170cm or so and is still a concern for triggering from thinner snowpack areas.

Regions covered