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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Mar 19th, 2025–Mar 20th, 2025

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Coquihalla, Manning, Skagit.

Stormy weather returns ! Fresh and reactive wind slabs will be a concern.

Avoid freshly wind-loaded features, especially near ridge crests, rollovers, and steep terrain.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, a large wind slab avalanche (size 2) was triggered by mountaineers on a southerly slope of Markhor Peak. It propagated 20 m wide and ran on a buried hard sun crust.

Thanks for sharing your observations via the MIN if you are going out into the backcountry.

Snowpack Summary

10 to 15 cm of new snow and strong wind is expected by Thursday afternoon, forming touchy wind slabs. This overlies wind-affected snow in lee terrain at upper elevations and moist, heavy snow or a melt-freeze crust on southerly slopes, especially at lower elevations.

A supportive crust is found 60 to 80 cm deep on all aspects except on high, north-facing alpine terrain, and the recent settling snow is bonding well to it.

A weak layer of facets and surface hoar from February is now 90 to 150 cm deep and a layer of facets and surface hoar from late January is 130 to 190 cm deep. No recent notable test results have been seen on these layers.

Weather Summary

Wednesday Night

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 30 to 50 km/h south ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -6 °C. Freezing level 800 m.

Thursday

Cloudy with 5 to 10 cm of new snow. 30 to 40 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Friday

Cloudy with 15 to 25 cm of new snow. 30 to 50 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

Saturday

Cloudy with up to 5 cm of new snow. 20 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -2 °C. Freezing level 1200 m.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Wind slabs are most reactive during their formation.
  • Watch for newly formed and reactive wind slabs as you transition into wind-affected terrain.
  • Be aware of the potential for loose avalanches in steep terrain where snow hasn't formed a slab.
  • Cornice failures could trigger large and destructive avalanches.

Problems

Wind Slabs

Wind Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer of snow (a slab) formed by the wind. Wind typically transports snow from the upwind sides of terrain features and deposits snow on the downwind side. Wind slabs are often smooth and rounded and sometimes sound hollow, and can range from soft to hard. Wind slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.