Avalanche forecast

Lizard-Flathead

Feb 5 – 6, 2025Avalanche Canada
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Avalanche danger

Fri
Sat
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
3 · Considerable
Below
2 · Moderate

Highlights

Switching winds have developed fresh, sensitive wind slabs on exposed slopes. Avoid areas where snow feels stiff or slabby.

Check out the Forecaster Blog "Keeping a Conservative Mindset"

Avalanche problems

  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2.5

    With plenty of snow available for transport increased winds on will develop fresh reactive wind slabs in lee terrain. Windslab will be primed for human triggering. Minimize exposure during periods of heavy loading from wind.

  • Storm Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1–3

    The new snow has bonded poorly to underlying layers. Back off if you encounter whumphing, hollow sounds, shooting cracks or recent avalanches.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

On Monday, two natural, size 3, storm slab avalanches were observed, likely triggered by overnight winds. These avalanches occurred on exposed northeast alpine slopes.

On Sunday, avalanche control produced several explosive-triggered storm slab avalanches size 1.5 to 2.5, and numerous dry loose avalanches, size 1 to 1.5, on northeast aspects at treeline.

Storm snow will likely remain reactive to skier traffic on Wednesday, where winds redistributed it into slabs.

Snowpack Summary

Storm snow totals range from 40 to 70 cm, with deeper deposits in wind-loaded areas. On exposed features, northeast winds have built fresh wind slabs on south and west facing slopes.

The storm snow has bonded poorly to the old snow surfaces, which includes melt-freeze crusts on sun-exposed slopes, large surface hoar or facets in sheltered areas, and wind-affected snow in exposed terrain at ridgelines.

The lower snowpack is strong and bonded.

Weather Summary

Tuesday Night

Cloudy with light flurries, 2 to 4 cm. 20 to 30 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -26 °C.

Wednesday

Mainly cloudy. 15 to 30 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -18 °C.

Thursday

A mix of sun and cloud. 15 to 25 km/h southwest ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -14 °C.

Friday

Mainly sunny. 5 to 15 km/h northeast ridgetop wind. Treeline temperature -12 °C.

More details can be found in the Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Pay attention to the wind; once it starts to blow, sensitive wind slabs are likely to form.
  • Avoid freshly wind-loaded terrain features.
  • Use small, low consequence slopes to test the bond of the new snow.
  • Be aware of the potential for remote triggering and large avalanches due to buried surface hoar.

Regions covered