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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Dec 7th, 2023–Dec 8th, 2023

Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.
Alpine
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Treeline
Natural avalanches possible, human triggered probable.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely, human triggered possible.

Regions

Banff Yoho Kootenay, Little Yoho, Banff, East Side 93N, Kootenay, Lake Louise, LLSA, Sunshine, West Side 93N, Field.

Avalanche control Dec 8 on Mt. Bosworth and the Mt. Stephen intermittent closure zone. No activities in these areas.

Deeper weak layers are overloaded by up to 60cm of storm snow, which will take time to settle. Climbers and skiers should factor in that avalanches starting up high can extend below treeline in gully features.

Confidence

Moderate

Avalanche Summary

Numerous avalanches were reported Thursday, including widespread naturals to 2.5 at Lake Louise ski hill. Other naturals were observed in the backcountry of Yoho, but overall, there has been limited visibility.

Snowpack Summary

Up to 60 cm of storm snow overlies the Dec 2 layer of surface hoar, facets and a crust. Below this layer are basal facets and a crust formed in late October. We suspect there is some separation between these weak layers in the alpine, but at treeline and below, they are essentially the same layer. Snow depths range from 80-100 cm at treeline and up to 140cm observed in alpine locations.

Weather Summary

Thursday night: light NW winds, freezing levels to valley bottom and 2-4cm in all regions.

Friday: Temperatures start to cool. Expect clearing starting mid-day with NW winds 20-30kmh at treeline.

For more information, click Mountain Weather Forecast.

Terrain and Travel Advice

  • Avoid exposure to overhead avalanche terrain, avalanches may run surprisingly far.
  • Storm slabs in motion may step down to deeper layers resulting in large avalanches.

Problems

Storm Slabs

Storm Slab avalanches are the release of a cohesive layer (a slab) of new snow that breaks within new snow or on the old snow surface. Storm-slabs typically last between a few hours and few days (following snowfall). Storm-slabs that form over a persistent weak layer (surface hoar, depth hoar, or near-surface facets) may be termed Persistent Slabs or may develop into Persistent Slabs.

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.