Avalanche Forecast
Issued: Jan 6th, 2012 9:38AM
The alpine rating is Wind Slabs and Persistent Slabs.
, the treeline rating is , and the below treeline rating is Known problems includeSummary
Confidence
Fair - Forecast snowfall amounts are uncertain on Sunday
Weather Forecast
Flurries during the day on Friday should accumulate a couple of new cm by Saturday morning. A weak ridge of high pressure building over the coast is forecast to develop strong winds from the west or northwest and warm temperatures in the Cariboo. Moderate precipitation is expected to begin by midnight and continue during the day on Sunday. The freezing level is expected to rise to about 1800 metres in the Cariboo and West Monashee by Sunday morning. It looks like most of the snow will fall in the North and West of the Interior ranges. Expect moderate to strong northwest winds on Sunday becoming strong from the west in the South Columbia and Purcells. Cooler air is expected to move in to the region from the northwest on Monday. Precipitation amounts are un-certain at this time. Chinook conditions are expected for the Rockies.
Avalanche Summary
Explosives control along the highway corridor in the Selkirks has been producing very large avalanches up to size 4.0. Some smaller natural avalanches releasing in the recent wind transported snow have been reported up to size 2.0. Reports have been limited due to poor visibility and travel conditions.
Snowpack Summary
The recent snow has been quite variable in it's distribution, depositing between 30-50 cm depending on the drainage. Generally it has been drier in the south of the region. Some areas have enough new snow for a "storm" slab to be reactive. The wind has been strong across the region, transporting snow onto north and east aspects. Windslabs have been touchy and releasing with wide propagations, sometimes stepping down to the mid-december surface hoar layer. Some areas have developed a rain crust after the recent warm temperatures that exists up to about 1600 metres.
Problems
Wind Slabs
Aspects: North, North East, East, South East.
Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Persistent Slabs
Aspects: All aspects.
Elevations: All elevations.
Likelihood
Expected Size
Valid until: Jan 7th, 2012 8:00AM