Avalanche Forecast

Issued: Feb 7th, 2014 9:06AM

The alpine rating is moderate, the treeline rating is low, and the below treeline rating is low. Known problems include Wind Slabs.

Avalanche Canada ghelgeson, Avalanche Canada

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Summary

Confidence

Fair - Wind effect is extremely variable

Weather Forecast

Synopsis:  The formidable ridge continues to dominate the weather through the weekend before breaking down on Monday as a series of frontal systems out of the SW begin to stack up offshore.  Saturday: Sky: Broken; Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Nil Wind: Light, VariableSunday: Sky: Broken; Freezing Level: Valley Bottom; Precip: Nil Wind: Light, VariableMonday: Sky: Overcast; Freezing Level: 800m; Precip: 5/10 cm Wind: Light, SW | Mod SW at ridgetop.

Avalanche Summary

The quantity of small wind slabs being triggered has dropped way off, but there were still a few reported from Thursday from N, E and SE facing slopes.

Snowpack Summary

Snow totals from the last pulse on Wednesday (140129) range from 5 - 20 cm with the greatest accumulations in the south of the region. This snow is faceting quickly in the cold temps. In wind exposed terrain, especially in the alpine, winds continue to form shallow wind slabs that are most prevalent immediately lee of ridgecrest. These variable wind slabs should stick around a bit longer than we're accustomed to as they are resting on a weak layer composed of large grained surface hoar (widespread in most sheltered and shaded areas at all elevations), a sun crust on open south facing slopes, faceted grains (in colder areas or areas with a thinner snowpack), or a combination of the above.Most of the snowpack is generally well consolidated. However, in thinner snowpack areas a facet/crust weakness may exist near the bottom of the snowpack. The depth of this layer makes human triggering unlikely, but the consequences of doing so could be disastrous.

Problems

Wind Slabs

An icon showing Wind Slabs
Cold temps and time have gone to work on the wind slabs and they've become a lot less sensitive.  Keep your guard up at ridge crest where you're most likely to find rider triggerable wind slabs.
Highmark or enter your line well below ridge crests to avoid wind loaded pillows.>Carefully consider the impact a small wind slab will have on your proposed line, especially in high consequence terrain. Have a backup line in mind in case you need to seek more sheltered riding. >

Aspects: All aspects.

Elevations: Alpine, Treeline.

Likelihood

Possible

Expected Size

1 - 2

Valid until: Feb 8th, 2014 2:00PM