Avalanche forecast

Northern San Juan

Colorado Avalanche Information Center
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Avalanche danger

Tue
Wed
Alpine
3 · Considerable
Treeline
2 · Moderate
Below
2 · Moderate
Out of date — this forecast expired 2 years ago. You’re viewing past conditions, not the current bulletin.

Avalanche problems

  • Persistent Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Possible
    Size
    1.5–2.5
  • Wind Slabs

    • Alpine
    • Treeline
    • Below treeline
    Likelihood
    Likely
    Size
    1–2

Avalanche Summary

A large winter storm begins to impact the Southern Mountains on Monday lasting through Wednesday. Expect the avalanche danger to rise quickly as heavy snow and strong winds build dangerous slabs of snow, and overwhelm weak snow layers.

Lingering reports of human-triggered avalanches speak to the vulnerability of weak snow layers in the upper snowpack despite little or no direct feedback such as cracking or audible collapses. If you find the shallow area of the slope, you could trigger a large avalanche – especially on slopes steeper than about 35 degrees. Common trigger spots exists near rock outcroppings, on steep rollovers, and beneath ridges and cliffs. Avalanches on slopes with freshly drifted slabs can break wide and one to two feet deep producing a more dangerous slide. Avoid steeper areas above treeline if you notice the snow surface transition from soft to stiff, or where you see smooth, rounded pillows of snow.

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