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Avalanche Forecast

Archived

Jan 31st, 2014–Feb 1st, 2014

Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Alpine
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.
Below Treeline
Natural avalanches unlikely.

Regions

Northwest Inland.

Confidence

Good

Weather Forecast

Overnight and Saturday: Cold and clear overnight with moderate Westerly winds and alpine temperatures dropping down to about -18 C. Mix of sun and cloud during the day with a chance of very light precipitation. Freezing levels down to valley bottoms and alpine high temperatures about -8 C.Sunday: Mostly sunny with moderate Northeast winds and alpine temperatures about -15 C. Freezing levels at valley bottoms.Monday: Clear with strong Northeast winds and alpine temperatures around -20 C.

Avalanche Summary

No new avalanches reported.

Snowpack Summary

5-10 cm of light dry snow now sits above a solid melt-freeze crust at all elevations and all but some very sheltered North aspects. There was a widespread surface hoar layer reported after the temperature inversion ended. I suspect that the thin layer of light dry snow has buried the surface hoar, but at this time there is not enough snow above this weak layer to create an avalanche danger. The deep persistent layer of weak facets continues to be a concern in shallow snowpack areas, however the re-frozen upper snowpack may make triggering less likely.

Problems

Deep Persistent Slabs

Deep Persistent Slab avalanches are the release of a thick cohesive layer of hard snow (a slab), when the bond breaks between the slab and an underlying persistent weak layer deep in the snowpack. The most common persistent weak layers involved in deep, persistent slabs are depth hoar or facets surrounding a deeply buried crust. Deep Persistent Slabs are typically hard to trigger, are very destructive and dangerous due to the large mass of snow involved, and can persist for months once developed. They are often triggered from areas where the snow is shallow and weak, and are particularly difficult to forecast for and manage.